Modifying the intensity distribution by assessing the reliability     

Lan-chi Kang  Xing Jin  Yong-xiang Wei 《地震科学（英文版）》2013,26(6):407-413

This article presents an application of a procedure to modify the intensity distribution by assessing the reliability. There are two potential possibilities that may influence the intensity distribution: (1) For the interpolation error, we generate a measured grid across the calculation region. When the point to station spacing is <5 km, we consider the results precise; however, some points have less precision because these are farther from the corresponding stations. When the spacing is between 5 and 50 km, we consider the results imprecise and define a reliability factor that correlates with the distance. (2) Some records may have errors that result from local site conditions, equipment problems, or some disturbance such as lightning stroke, which will lead to some grid points having an incorrect intensity. We regress the attenuation relation for sites with abnormal intensities and consider the results to be accurate when the standard deviation (STD) is <σ and inaccurate when the STD is > 2σ. We then define a reliability factor to correlate with STD between σ and 2σ, such that the intensity distribution is in accord with both wave propagation theory and the investigation intensity.  相似文献   

Quantifying the epistemic uncertainty in ground motion models and prediction     

《Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering》2014

The aim of this paper is to compute the ground-motion prediction equation (GMPE)-specific components of epistemic uncertainty, so that they may be better understood and the model standard deviation potentially reduced. The reduced estimate of the model standard deviation may also be more representative of the true aleatory uncertainty in the ground-motion predictions.The epistemic uncertainty due to input variable uncertainty and uncertainty in the estimation of the GMPE coefficients are examined. An enhanced methodology is presented that may be used to analyse their impacts on GMPEs and GMPE predictions. The impacts of accounting for the input variable uncertainty in GMPEs are demonstrated using example values from the literature and by applying the methodology to the GMPE for Arias Intensity. This uncertainty is found to have a significant effect on the estimated coefficients of the model and a small effect on the value of the model standard deviation.The impacts of uncertainty in the GMPE coefficients are demonstrated by quantifying the uncertainty in hazard maps. This paper provides a consistent approach to quantifying the epistemic uncertainty in hazard maps using Monte Carlo simulations and a logic tree framework. The ability to quantify this component of epistemic uncertainty offers significant enhancements over methods currently used in the creation of hazard maps as it is both theoretically consistent and can be used for any magnitude–distance scenario.  相似文献   

Experimental evaluation of dynamic deformation characteristics of sheet pile retaining walls with fiber reinforced backfill     

R. Jamshidi  I. Towhata  H. Ghiassian  A.R. Tabarsa 《Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering》2010

Fiber reinforced soil behaves as a composite material in which fibers of relatively high tensile strength are embedded in a matrix of soil. Shear stresses in the soil mobilize tensile resistance in the fibers, which in turn imparts greater strength to the soil. In this paper a study on the influence of synthetic fibrous materials in improving the dynamic response characteristics of fine sandy soil is reported. The project aims at converting fibrous carpet waste into a value-added product for soil reinforcement. A series of five shaking table tests using rigid box were carried out on Toyoura sand specimens reinforced with randomly distributed geotextile strips. The dynamic deformation characteristics of the reinforced sand are defined in terms of wall lateral deformation and rotation. The results clearly indicate the effectiveness of fiber reinforcement in improving dynamic properties of fine sand and deformation characteristics of fiber reinforced sheet pile retaining wall during shaking.  相似文献   

Key parameters governing the dynamic response of long-period structures     

N. Fukuwa  J. Tobita 《Journal of Seismology》2008,12(2):295-306

The present study describes the important factors (period, duration, and intensity) involved in evaluating input ground motion and structural response for the design of long-period structures such as high-rise buildings and base-isolated buildings. First, the fundamental dynamic properties of high-rise buildings are explained based on the results of newly introduced vibration observations programs. Next, the distribution of the predominant period and duration of seismic ground motion within the Nobi Plain, one of the largest sedimentary plains in Japan, is discussed with respect to the possibility of resonance of long-period structures. Finally, we introduce a recently developed long-stroke shaking table that is intended to convince structural engineers and building owners to take adequate countermeasures against large floor response in high-rise buildings because of resonance. Presented at the International Workshop on Long-Period Ground Motion Simulation and Velocity Structures Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, November 14–15, 2006.  相似文献   

利用GPS观测结果对我国地壳水平形变强度的分析   总被引：7，自引：2，他引：5  

顾国华  符养  王武星 《地震》2004,24(2):1-6

介绍利用中国地壳运动观测网络区域网(包括基本网与基准网)1999年与2001年2期GPS观测所获得的中国大陆地壳水平位移速率结果, 研究块体的划分、 块体位移与块体变形, 提出了用位移(速率)离散度分析块体或局部水平变形强度的方法, 分析了中国大陆现今地壳运动的基本特征及2001年11月14日昆仑山口西8.1级大地震前的地壳水平运动。  相似文献   

西太平洋副热带高压强度和位置的气候特征   总被引：8，自引：0，他引：8  

李江南  蒙伟光  王安宇  刘黎明  冯瑞权  侯尔滨 《热带地理》2003,23(1):35-39

利用45年西太平洋副热带高压5个特征指数的月平均资料,对副高强度和位置变化的气候特征进行了诊断研究.结果表明,副高的强度在一年中出现两次峰值,第一次出现在6月,第二次在9月.在45年里,副高强度有明显加强,副高位置有南落西移的趋势.副高强度存在3～4 年、10～13 年的振荡周期,10～13年的周期振荡在1950、1960、1970年代占主要地位,3～4年的周期振荡在1980、1990年代占主要地位.副高在1978年附近发生气候突变,副高强度由负距平为主转为正距平为主,而脊线位置正好相反.  相似文献   

1961-2010年环渤海地区寒潮时空分布及变化特征   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1       下载免费PDF全文

段丽瑶  刘爱霞  于莉莉 《气象与环境学报》2013,29(4):54-58

利用1961-2010年环渤海地区58个站的逐日平均气温、日最低气温资料,按照寒潮国家标准统计寒潮次数和寒潮强度,分析环渤海地区单站寒潮和区域寒潮的气候变化特征。结果表明：环渤海地区单站寒潮出现频次的地域差异很大,大体上呈现自北至南递减态势,年平均次数最多的为张北21次,最少的京津地区不足2次。近50 a来环渤海地区共有233次区域性寒潮,出现在当年9月至次年4月,其中11月最多。区域寒潮呈显著减少趋势。20世纪60-70年代区域性寒潮事件频发,80年代开始明显减少并在1983年出现了突变。区域特强寒潮不多,20世纪60年代出现了2次,自70年开始特强寒潮平均每个年代出现1次。在气候变暖背景下,环渤海地区区域寒潮次数明显减少,但特强寒潮亦极端寒潮事件并未减少。  相似文献   

Assessment of soil–pile–structure interaction influencing seismic response of mid-rise buildings sitting on floating pile foundations     

《Computers and Geotechnics》2014

The role of the seismic soil–pile–structure interaction (SSPSI) is usually considered beneficial to the structural system under seismic loading since it lengthens the lateral fundamental period and leads to higher damping of the system in comparison with the fixed-base assumption. Lessons learned from recent earthquakes show that fixed-base assumption could be misleading, and neglecting the influence of SSPSI could lead to unsafe design particularly for structures founded on soft soils. In this study, in order to better understand the SSPSI phenomena, a series of shaking table tests have been conducted for three different cases, namely: (i) fixed-base structure representing the situation excluding the soil–structure interaction; (ii) structure supported by shallow foundation on soft soil; and (iii) structure supported by floating (frictional) pile foundation in soft soil. A laminar soil container has been designed and constructed to simulate the free field soil response by minimising boundary effects during shaking table tests. In addition, a fully nonlinear three dimensional numerical model employing FLAC3D has been adopted to perform time-history analysis on the mentioned three cases. The numerical model adopts hysteretic damping algorithm representing the variation of the shear modulus and damping ratio of the soil with the cyclic shear strain capturing the energy absorbing characteristics of the soil. Results are presented in terms of the structural response parameters most significant for the damage such as foundation rocking, base shear, floor deformation, and inter-storey drifts. Comparison of the numerical predictions and the experimental data shows a good agreement confirming the reliability of the numerical model. Both experimental and numerical results indicate that soil–structure interaction amplifies the lateral deflections and inter-storey drifts of the structures supported by floating pile foundations in comparison to the fixed base structures. However, the floating pile foundations contribute to the reduction in the lateral displacements in comparison to the shallow foundation case, due to the reduced rocking components.  相似文献   

某高层建筑模型振动台试验结果分析     

孙峰  阎维明  周福霖  杨巧荣 《地震工程与工程振动》1998,18(4):61-67

本文分析了广州市某２８层高层建筑模型模拟地震振动台试验结果,对此建筑的抗震性能进行了评价,考究了设置摩擦耗能支对其动力反应的减震作用。  相似文献   

0214号热带气旋强度突变的研究   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

王远超 《海洋预报》2006,23(1):44-47

本文通过对0214号“黄蜂”强度变化的研究表明,弱冷空气、中尺度涡旋及副高加强西伸相互作用,导致其周围风场、物理量场、能量场、云系均出现有利结构,从而使其强度发生突变。  相似文献